Projection 20.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Chase Brown Receiving Yards 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 54.1% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 50.0% against 61.2% (-11.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.5% | 54.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 51.0% | 54.0% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 50.5% | 54.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 51.0% | 52.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 PM | 52.0% | 52.4% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 51.0% | 52.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 49.0% | 55.0% | -6 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 54.2% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 48.3% | 53.1% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 51.1% | 54.1% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 49.6% | 53.1% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 48.0% | 53.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 48.0% | 54.1% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 48.0% | 53.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 50.7% | 53.9% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.7% | 56.6% | -5.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 49.7% | 58.3% | -8.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 50.7% | 59.4% | -8.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 49.0% | 53.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 61.2% | -11.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing chase brown receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 5h ago | ||
|
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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