Projection 1.1
+0.56pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+15639.1%39¢
against
DraftKings's
+15040%40¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Samaje Perine Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.8% against 44.1% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 39.8% against 39.1% (0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 39.8% | 44.1% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 38.8% | 41.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 38.7% | 41.7% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 43.3% | 58.0% | -14.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 39.0% | 40.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 38.5% | 40.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 38.5% | 39.7% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM | 39.5% | 40.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 38.4% | 41.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 38.3% | 41.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 41.1% | 40.7% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 38.6% | 41.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 39.4% | 40.3% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 39.8% | 40.3% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 39.0% | 40.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 39.2% | 40.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 39.6% | 40.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 41.4% | 41.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 39.1% | 41.1% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 40.0% | 42.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 39.6% | 40.6% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 PM | 40.3% | 42.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 39.6% | 40.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 39.8% | 40.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 39.6% | 39.5% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 38.7% | 40.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 40.3% | 42.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 39.6% | 41.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 40.6% | 39.1% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 39.8% | 39.1% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 40.0% | 39.1% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:05 PM | 39.8% | 39.1% | 0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing samaje perine receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 58m ago | ||
|
|
1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 23h ago | |
|
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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