Rico Dowdle — Rushing Attempts
+1.65pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11746.1%46¢
against
DraftKings's
+11346.9%47¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Rico Dowdle Rushing Attempts 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.3% against 50.0% (an edge of -1.7 points) and is now 45.2% against 46.1% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.3% | 50.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 53.8% | 50.0% | 3.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:40 AM | 49.1% | 50.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 48.6% | 50.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 48.0% | 50.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 47.6% | 50.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 48.2% | 45.5% | 2.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 48.0% | 45.0% | 3 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 47.7% | 45.0% | 2.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 45.3% | 46.9% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 AM | 45.8% | 46.5% | -0.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 AM | 48.0% | 46.5% | 1.5 |
| Nov 1, 8:40 AM | 51.0% | 46.9% | 4.1 |
| Nov 1, 9:00 AM | 45.5% | 46.5% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 46.5% | 46.1% | 0.4 |
| Nov 1, 11:20 AM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Nov 1, 11:50 AM | 46.5% | 46.5% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 46.0% | 46.5% | -0.5 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 PM | 44.2% | 46.5% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 PM | 48.0% | 45.5% | 2.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 PM | 47.9% | 46.1% | 1.8 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 PM | 44.3% | 45.5% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 12:59 PM | 45.2% | 46.1% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rico dowdle rushing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 9h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 40m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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