Rico Dowdle — Receptions
Projection 2.3
+1.92pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Courtside's
+10848.1%48¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Rico Dowdle Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.4% against 63.5% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 49.2% against 48.5% (0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 58.4% | 63.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 40.6% | 60.1% | -19.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 46.7% | 59.7% | -13 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 53.5% | 60.3% | -6.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 58.2% | 58.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 54.6% | 57.3% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 56.6% | 57.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 55.4% | 56.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 56.3% | 57.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 55.9% | 56.4% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 55.5% | 56.5% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 56.7% | 55.3% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 54.6% | 55.4% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 53.1% | 55.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 56.6% | 54.9% | 1.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 54.4% | 55.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 52.8% | 54.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 53.0% | 54.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 53.2% | 53.6% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 52.8% | 53.2% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 52.2% | 53.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 PM | 51.0% | 53.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 51.4% | 51.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 7:40 PM | 52.0% | 49.0% | 3 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 51.0% | 52.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 50.7% | 51.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 50.5% | 50.5% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 48.2% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 51.4% | 49.5% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:48 PM | 49.2% | 48.5% | 0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rico dowdle receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 20h ago | |
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 5h ago | |
 FanDuel
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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