Rhamondre Stevenson — Receptions
Projection 3.2
+3.62pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+14441%41¢
against
BetMGM's
+12045.5%45¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.5% against 46.1% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 57.6% against 63.8% (-6.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 43.5% | 46.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 44.8% | 46.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 PM | 49.9% | 46.1% | 3.8 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 49.6% | 46.5% | 3.1 |
| Oct 28, 8:30 PM | 50.0% | 46.9% | 3.1 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 46.0% | 46.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 AM | 46.7% | 46.8% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 44.7% | 46.9% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 AM | 43.5% | 46.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 48.2% | 46.1% | 2.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 44.4% | 46.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 AM | 44.0% | 46.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 AM | 46.6% | 47.2% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 44.5% | 47.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 52.0% | 47.9% | 4.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 51.4% | 47.5% | 3.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 46.2% | 47.6% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 46.6% | 47.6% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 48.0% | 47.6% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 47.7% | 48.1% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 52.1% | 48.1% | 4 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 51.7% | 48.1% | 3.6 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 51.6% | 55.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 52.4% | 51.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 45.0% | 51.0% | -6 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 51.7% | 50.8% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 46.2% | 51.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 53.5% | 51.0% | 2.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 46.7% | 50.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 48.9% | 49.3% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 PM | 48.2% | 50.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 48.5% | 49.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 48.1% | 51.7% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 48.0% | 50.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 AM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 54.5% | 50.0% | 4.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 49.5% | 50.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 48.8% | 53.5% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 52.0% | 52.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 60.2% | 55.9% | 4.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 50.6% | 55.4% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 53.1% | 55.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 53.5% | 56.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 52.0% | 57.0% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 53.2% | 57.8% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 PM | 50.8% | 57.6% | -6.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 53.3% | 56.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 56.7% | 57.1% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 AM | 53.0% | 55.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 55.8% | 57.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 54.2% | 56.7% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 55.1% | 57.1% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 54.5% | 57.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 56.3% | 58.5% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 58.8% | 57.4% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 57.0% | 58.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 56.7% | 58.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 PM | 55.8% | 58.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 57.5% | 58.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 57.3% | 58.8% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 56.5% | 58.5% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 59.6% | 58.7% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 56.9% | 58.7% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 56.2% | 58.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 PM | 56.2% | 57.3% | -1.1 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 AM | 54.5% | 59.0% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 AM | 55.8% | 58.0% | -2.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 AM | 57.4% | 60.9% | -3.5 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 AM | 59.4% | 60.6% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:30 AM | 56.6% | 60.6% | -4 |
| Nov 1, 5:50 AM | 55.8% | 59.0% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM | 56.0% | 60.5% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 56.6% | 60.9% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 11:50 AM | 57.7% | 60.2% | -2.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 57.0% | 60.3% | -3.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 PM | 59.4% | 60.3% | -0.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 57.7% | 60.0% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 PM | 56.4% | 60.5% | -4.1 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 PM | 56.2% | 60.0% | -3.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:10 PM | 56.0% | 60.3% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 57.1% | 60.3% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:10 PM | 57.8% | 60.0% | -2.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 57.2% | 62.4% | -5.2 |
| Nov 1, 3:50 PM | 58.3% | 62.0% | -3.7 |
| Nov 1, 4:10 PM | 59.2% | 63.0% | -3.8 |
| Nov 1, 4:20 PM | 60.6% | 64.0% | -3.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 PM | 62.0% | 64.0% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 PM | 60.7% | 65.2% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:58 PM | 57.6% | 63.8% | -6.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rhamondre stevenson receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BetMGM
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 59m ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 13h ago | |
 Bovada
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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