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Aaron Jones — Rushing Attempts

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)

Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 10 of 10 (100%).

Aaron Jones Rushing Attempts 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.7% against 47.4% (an edge of 5.3 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.2% (-1.2 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 30, 7:10 PM 52.7% 47.4% 5.3
Oct 30, 10:30 PM 50.0% 51.5% -1.5
Oct 31, 10:00 PM 50.0% 51.9% -1.9
Oct 31, 6:12 PM 50.0% 51.2% -1.2

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aaron jones rushing attempts are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 2 hours ago.