Aaron Jones — Receptions
Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Aaron Jones Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.7% against 66.7% (an edge of -10 points) and is now 56.4% against 56.5% (-0.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 56.7% | 66.7% | -10 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 57.8% | 60.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 60.9% | 59.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 59.1% | 58.3% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 56.9% | 57.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 56.7% | 59.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 58.6% | 57.7% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 57.7% | 59.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 57.8% | 58.3% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 55.4% | 57.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 55.6% | 58.3% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:01 AM | 56.4% | 56.5% | -0.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aaron jones receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 17h ago | |
| Dst Propbuilder | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 8h ago | ||
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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