Projection 0.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.2% against 51.9% (an edge of -5.7 points) and is now 45.5% against 49.0% (-3.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 46.2% | 51.9% | -5.7 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 AM | 44.2% | 51.0% | -6.8 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 45.5% | 51.9% | -6.4 |
| Oct 28, 9:40 PM | 46.5% | 46.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 45.5% | 49.2% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:21 AM | 45.5% | 49.0% | -3.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aaron jones anytime touchdown are still live.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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BetMGM does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 3h ago | |
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BetRivers does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago | |
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Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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