Projection 2.5
+4.53pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
FanDuel's
+10449%49¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jonathan Taylor Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 56.9% (an edge of -5.9 points) and is now 47.2% against 48.1% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 51.0% | 56.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 28, 1:40 PM | 51.0% | 54.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 PM | 50.4% | 55.4% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 50.8% | 54.5% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 7:10 PM | 49.1% | 55.0% | -5.9 |
| Oct 28, 7:50 PM | 50.5% | 53.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 8:00 PM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 48.8% | 54.3% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 AM | 48.6% | 53.9% | -5.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 48.8% | 54.2% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 49.7% | 54.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 49.7% | 54.3% | -4.6 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 49.7% | 55.0% | -5.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 49.0% | 54.8% | -5.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 AM | 48.6% | 54.1% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 49.0% | 54.8% | -5.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.7% | 53.6% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 49.0% | 53.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 48.4% | 53.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 49.3% | 53.3% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 AM | 49.8% | 54.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:20 AM | 48.4% | 53.6% | -5.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 49.0% | 53.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.0% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 48.6% | 52.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 49.7% | 53.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 49.3% | 50.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 48.4% | 51.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 48.4% | 50.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 51.8% | 53.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM | 46.7% | 51.3% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 AM | 51.0% | 51.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 AM | 52.0% | 54.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 52.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 51.4% | 52.4% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 50.1% | 51.7% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 48.5% | 51.7% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 AM | 51.4% | 52.2% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 46.9% | 54.5% | -7.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 51.0% | 54.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 53.3% | 54.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 48.8% | 51.2% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 54.9% | 51.2% | 3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 51.7% | 51.2% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.9% | 51.3% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 50.8% | 50.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 47.6% | 51.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 48.9% | 52.3% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 50.1% | 50.2% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 AM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 AM | 49.1% | 48.9% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 48.4% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 49.3% | 47.8% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 48.6% | 47.5% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 48.0% | 47.6% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 45.5% | 47.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 49.0% | 46.9% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 49.0% | 48.1% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 46.7% | 47.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 46.5% | 48.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 48.0% | 48.3% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 47.8% | 48.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 48.7% | 48.0% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 49.0% | 47.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 46.4% | 46.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 48.0% | 47.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:08 PM | 47.2% | 48.1% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jonathan taylor receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4h ago | |
|
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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