Projection 16.6
+0.28pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+19434%34¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+16537.7%38¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.8% against 61.5% (an edge of -12.7 points) and is now 51.0% against 53.1% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 48.8% | 61.5% | -12.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 52.4% | 61.5% | -9.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.5% | 61.5% | -11 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 53.5% | 58.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 52.0% | 58.0% | -6 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 52.0% | 57.4% | -5.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jonathan taylor receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Courtside | 15.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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