Projection 87.8
+1.25pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10648.5%49¢
against
Courtside's
-11152.6%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (76.5)
Teal bars cleared 76.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Javonte Williams Rushing Yards 76.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.4% against 53.2% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.5% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:40 AM | 50.4% | 53.2% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 AM | 50.1% | 51.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 50.4% | 52.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:13 PM | 50.0% | 50.5% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing javonte williams rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
76.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 76.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 23h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 76.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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