Projection 3.1
+2.48pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Pinnacle's
+14441%41¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Kenneth Walker Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.2% against 42.0% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 39.8% against 40.8% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 39.2% | 42.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 41.4% | 42.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 42.5% | 41.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 AM | 41.5% | 42.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 41.3% | 42.4% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 43.3% | 41.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 PM | 40.1% | 41.5% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 40.3% | 40.8% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 40.6% | 40.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 40.9% | 40.7% | 0.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 43.3% | 40.7% | 2.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 42.2% | 40.3% | 1.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 40.1% | 40.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 40.2% | 40.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 AM | 40.6% | 39.8% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 39.0% | 40.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 39.0% | 40.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 40.2% | 40.7% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 39.8% | 40.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 40.1% | 40.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 PM | 40.3% | 41.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 38.8% | 41.2% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 40.2% | 41.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 39.8% | 42.1% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 41.5% | 41.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 38.7% | 42.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 39.6% | 41.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 42.5% | 42.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 43.3% | 41.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 40.5% | 41.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 41.3% | 40.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 30, 8:40 PM | 39.1% | 40.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 39.7% | 40.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 41.3% | 41.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 41.6% | 41.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 41.4% | 40.8% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 41.7% | 41.3% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 40.8% | 40.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 40.3% | 40.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 38.7% | 41.3% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 38.7% | 41.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 40.9% | 40.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:36 PM | 39.8% | 40.8% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kenneth walker receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
3.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 13h ago | |
| Courtside | 3.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 13h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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