+0.44pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Pinnacle's
-10551.2%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (21.5)
Teal bars cleared 21.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Attempts 21.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.9% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 50.0% against 48.1% (1.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 50.8% | 50.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 PM | 48.6% | 48.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 51.5% | 49.8% | 1.7 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 48.5% | 48.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 48.6% | 47.8% | 0.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.5% | 48.1% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 49.0% | 48.1% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 49.0% | 48.1% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 46.9% | 3.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 50.3% | 48.1% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 49.4% | 48.1% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 50.0% | 46.9% | 3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 50.3% | 48.1% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:33 PM | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jahmyr gibbs rushing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 12h ago | ||
|
|
21.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
|
21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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