Projection 0.0
+0.91pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Bovada's
-11052.4%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (55.5)
Teal bars cleared 55.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards 55.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.5% against 54.8% (an edge of -5.3 points) and is now 50.0% against 49.9% (0.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 49.5% | 54.8% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 PM | 49.0% | 54.8% | -5.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:20 PM | 50.3% | 52.8% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:00 PM | 50.5% | 53.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 49.6% | 52.7% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 AM | 50.5% | 52.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 49.5% | 52.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM | 50.2% | 52.7% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.3% | 51.8% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 50.7% | 52.6% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 49.0% | 51.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 49.5% | 50.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 49.1% | 51.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 49.8% | 50.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 48.5% | 50.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 48.3% | 51.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:14 PM | 50.0% | 49.9% | 0.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing saquon barkley rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 55.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
55.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 7h ago | ||
| Courtside | 55.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 12h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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