Bijan Robinson — Receptions
Projection 3.9
+0.1pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+56715%15¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+52516%16¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Bijan Robinson Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.4% against 58.1% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 55.7% against 57.6% (-1.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 55.4% | 58.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 54.3% | 57.3% | -3 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 PM | 55.0% | 59.7% | -4.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 54.5% | 63.2% | -8.7 |
| Oct 28, 8:10 PM | 53.6% | 59.7% | -6.1 |
| Oct 28, 8:30 PM | 55.8% | 60.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 8:40 PM | 55.5% | 60.6% | -5.1 |
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 54.5% | 57.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 55.9% | 57.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 55.0% | 58.0% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 55.7% | 58.7% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 54.5% | 58.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 AM | 54.6% | 55.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 53.3% | 53.9% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 AM | 54.0% | 54.8% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 52.8% | 58.7% | -5.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:20 AM | 54.3% | 53.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 AM | 53.1% | 56.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 52.6% | 54.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 54.4% | 53.9% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 52.6% | 53.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 56.7% | 53.9% | 2.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 54.9% | 53.9% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 52.6% | 53.1% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.5% | 53.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 AM | 51.9% | 53.1% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 52.9% | 53.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 53.1% | 53.1% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 57.6% | 53.4% | 4.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 54.9% | 53.3% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 53.1% | 53.1% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 52.3% | 53.3% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 52.0% | 53.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 52.8% | 53.1% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 56.7% | 53.5% | 3.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 51.6% | 53.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 51.4% | 53.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:40 PM | 54.1% | 53.1% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 54.6% | 56.4% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 57.4% | 57.3% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 57.3% | 56.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 58.5% | 57.4% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 55.2% | 57.6% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 55.8% | 57.6% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 54.5% | 60.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:28 PM | 55.7% | 57.6% | -1.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bijan robinson receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | |
 BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4h ago | |
 Bovada
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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