Projection 30.7
+0.59pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-10451%51¢
against
DraftKings's
-10851.9%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (31.5)
Teal bars cleared 31.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards 31.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 53.5% (an edge of -5.4 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.8% (-1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM | 48.1% | 53.5% | -5.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 46.6% | 53.4% | -6.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.8% | 51.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:40 PM | 49.2% | 51.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:55 PM | 50.0% | 51.8% | -1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing bijan robinson receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 19m ago | ||
|
|
31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 6m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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