Projection 2.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Breece Hall Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 50.2% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 44.7% against 50.5% (-5.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 50.0% | 50.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 AM | 51.2% | 50.2% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 AM | 50.0% | 50.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 51.0% | 49.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 AM | 50.0% | 49.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 45.6% | 51.7% | -6.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 PM | 50.0% | 49.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 42.2% | 51.9% | -9.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 49.0% | 48.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 44.2% | 52.6% | -8.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:09 AM | 44.7% | 50.5% | -5.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing breece hall receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 6h ago | ||
| Fliff | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fliff last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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