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Breece Hall — Receptions

Projection 2.5

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)

Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).

Breece Hall Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 50.2% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 44.7% against 50.5% (-5.8 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 30, 6:00 AM 50.0% 50.2% -0.2
Oct 30, 6:10 AM 51.2% 50.2% 1
Oct 30, 6:40 AM 50.0% 50.5% -0.5
Oct 30, 6:50 AM 51.0% 49.8% 1.2
Oct 30, 7:20 AM 49.0% 49.0% 0
Oct 30, 9:00 AM 50.0% 49.3% 0.7
Oct 30, 11:40 AM 45.6% 51.7% -6.1
Oct 30, 12:20 PM 50.0% 49.3% 0.7
Oct 30, 1:30 PM 50.0% 49.3% 0.7
Oct 30, 2:40 PM 42.2% 51.9% -9.7
Oct 30, 2:50 PM 49.0% 48.8% 0.2
Oct 30, 3:00 PM 49.0% 53.5% -4.5
Oct 31, 5:50 AM 44.2% 52.6% -8.4
Nov 1, 5:09 AM 44.7% 50.5% -5.8

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing breece hall receptions are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 3 hours ago.