Projection 64.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (65.5)
Teal bars cleared 65.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards 65.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 52.6% (an edge of -0.6 points) and is now 49.6% against 51.9% (-2.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 50.0% | 54.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 53.5% | 53.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 PM | 52.0% | 65.5% | -13.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 49.4% | 53.8% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 50.2% | 54.3% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:40 PM | 51.0% | 54.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 49.6% | 54.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 49.5% | 54.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 52.0% | 54.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 51.0% | 51.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 49.6% | 52.2% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 49.6% | 51.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 51.0% | 50.7% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:31 PM | 49.6% | 51.9% | -2.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing tony pollard rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
65.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 6h ago | ||
| Courtside | 65.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 6h ago | ||
|
|
65.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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