Tony Pollard — Receptions
Projection 2.2
+2.63pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Stoiximan's
+13742.2%42¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Tony Pollard Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.4% against 40.0% (an edge of 2.4 points) and is now 42.7% against 41.3% (1.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 42.4% | 40.0% | 2.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 41.4% | 39.3% | 2.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 40.4% | 38.8% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 PM | 38.7% | 41.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 PM | 41.5% | 42.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 42.8% | 42.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 PM | 42.9% | 43.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 PM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 38.5% | 42.4% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 8:40 PM | 41.2% | 41.7% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 41.4% | 41.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 40.2% | 41.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 41.0% | 42.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 41.2% | 42.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 43.0% | 42.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 40.4% | 42.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 40.9% | 42.6% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 41.5% | 41.5% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 PM | 42.5% | 41.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 PM | 44.1% | 41.5% | 2.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 PM | 43.5% | 42.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 43.7% | 42.6% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 42.8% | 41.8% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 42.7% | 41.3% | 1.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing tony pollard receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | |
 BetMGM
|
2.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | |
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium41 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 3 hours ago.