Projection 65.8
+2.4pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11147.4%47¢
against
Pinnacle's
-11152.6%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (64.5)
Teal bars cleared 64.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards 64.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 50.2% against 51.9% (-1.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.2% | 52.7% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.3% | 50.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:12 PM | 50.2% | 51.9% | -1.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing d'andre swift rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
64.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 5h ago | ||
| Courtside | 64.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 21h ago | |
|
|
64.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 21h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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