Garrett Wilson — Receptions
Projection 5.3
+0.37pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
-16362%62¢
against
Sportzino's
-17563.6%64¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Garrett Wilson Receptions 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.4% against 42.5% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 47.2% against 47.2% (0 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:40 PM | 39.4% | 42.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 28, 9:50 PM | 40.1% | 42.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 41.4% | 42.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 AM | 41.9% | 42.9% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 44.1% | 42.9% | 1.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 43.7% | 45.3% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 44.4% | 46.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 44.9% | 50.0% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 45.3% | 50.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 43.4% | 49.5% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 47.0% | 50.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 46.9% | 50.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 10:40 PM | 48.4% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.0% | 51.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 48.1% | 51.2% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 PM | 46.7% | 51.6% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 42.2% | 49.0% | -6.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 43.4% | 51.9% | -8.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 48.1% | 48.6% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 45.5% | 50.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 48.4% | 50.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 43.6% | 49.0% | -5.4 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 44.1% | 50.7% | -6.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 40.5% | 48.1% | -7.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 AM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 AM | 49.0% | 49.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 45.5% | 50.3% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 AM | 48.0% | 48.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 45.5% | 48.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 42.7% | 48.5% | -5.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 47.5% | 48.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 44.0% | 47.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 48.0% | 47.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 46.8% | 46.7% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 46.5% | 46.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 48.0% | 48.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 48.0% | 47.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 47.7% | 46.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 46.5% | 46.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 46.0% | 46.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 48.0% | 47.4% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 46.5% | 47.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 47.1% | 46.9% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:43 PM | 47.2% | 47.2% | 0 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing garrett wilson receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 22h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
5.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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