Projection 6.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Amon-Ra St Brown Receptions 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.6% against 57.7% (an edge of -2.1 points) and is now 55.5% against 60.0% (-4.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 10:00 AM | 55.6% | 57.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 55.0% | 58.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 12:40 PM | 53.7% | 59.7% | -6 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 54.1% | 56.8% | -2.7 |
| Oct 27, 3:10 PM | 53.7% | 55.6% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:30 PM | 53.1% | 57.3% | -4.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 51.8% | 56.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 27, 10:00 PM | 52.2% | 55.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 10:30 PM | 52.0% | 55.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 10:40 PM | 53.8% | 56.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 10:50 PM | 53.1% | 56.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 52.4% | 57.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 52.3% | 56.7% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 AM | 52.4% | 57.2% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 AM | 51.9% | 56.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 AM | 51.9% | 55.6% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 5:50 AM | 52.9% | 56.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 PM | 52.3% | 55.6% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 52.0% | 56.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 51.8% | 55.9% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 53.8% | 54.8% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 52.2% | 56.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 28, 8:30 PM | 53.1% | 55.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 28, 9:50 PM | 53.9% | 59.5% | -5.6 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 55.9% | 60.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 57.4% | 60.3% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:40 PM | 56.7% | 60.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 55.9% | 60.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 54.9% | 60.4% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 57.0% | 62.0% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 57.5% | 60.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 54.5% | 60.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:30 AM | 56.9% | 60.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 54.4% | 60.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 53.6% | 60.9% | -7.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 53.5% | 60.5% | -7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 56.1% | 59.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 55.7% | 62.0% | -6.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 54.3% | 60.0% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 54.5% | 59.8% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 55.1% | 58.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 55.5% | 58.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 PM | 59.2% | 59.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 57.5% | 59.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 56.7% | 58.3% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 51.0% | 57.8% | -6.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 51.0% | 58.0% | -7 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 56.7% | 59.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 54.3% | 59.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 57.8% | 60.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 58.1% | 60.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 55.5% | 60.0% | -4.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing amon-ra st brown receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 11h ago | ||
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6.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
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6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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