Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (21.5)
Teal bars cleared 21.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Aaron Rodgers Passing Completions 21.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 53.9% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 47.5% against 48.1% (-0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 50.5% | 53.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 49.8% | 51.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 51.2% | 51.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 47.6% | 45.5% | 2.1 |
| Oct 29, 10:50 AM | 47.8% | 47.5% | 0.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 PM | 48.0% | 48.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 51.5% | 49.5% | 2 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 47.5% | 47.2% | 0.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 46.5% | 46.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.7% | 49.0% | 2.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 51.0% | 46.1% | 4.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 45.7% | 49.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 44.2% | 49.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:10 PM | 52.6% | 49.0% | 3.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 53.1% | 49.9% | 3.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 45.5% | 50.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 52.3% | 49.0% | 3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 47.8% | 49.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:22 PM | 47.5% | 48.1% | -0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aaron rodgers passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 7m ago | ||
| Fliff | 21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fliff last repriced this 10h ago | ||
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21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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