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Aaron Rodgers — Passing Completions

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (21.5)

Teal bars cleared 21.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).

Aaron Rodgers Passing Completions 21.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 53.9% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 47.5% against 48.1% (-0.6 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 29, 2:40 AM 50.5% 53.9% -3.4
Oct 29, 2:50 AM 49.8% 51.9% -2.1
Oct 29, 3:50 AM 51.0% 53.1% -2.1
Oct 29, 4:00 AM 51.2% 51.0% 0.2
Oct 29, 10:00 AM 47.6% 45.5% 2.1
Oct 29, 10:50 AM 47.8% 47.5% 0.3
Oct 29, 1:00 PM 48.0% 48.7% -0.7
Oct 29, 3:10 PM 51.5% 49.5% 2
Oct 29, 4:40 PM 47.5% 47.2% 0.3
Oct 29, 9:30 PM 46.5% 46.1% 0.4
Oct 30, 4:00 AM 51.7% 49.0% 2.7
Oct 30, 5:30 AM 46.5% 49.0% -2.5
Oct 30, 6:00 AM 51.0% 46.1% 4.9
Oct 30, 11:10 AM 45.7% 49.0% -3.3
Oct 30, 2:00 PM 44.2% 49.0% -4.8
Oct 30, 2:10 PM 52.6% 49.0% 3.6
Oct 30, 2:20 PM 53.1% 49.9% 3.2
Oct 30, 2:50 PM 45.5% 50.0% -4.5
Oct 30, 4:00 PM 52.3% 49.0% 3.3
Oct 31, 4:00 PM 47.8% 49.5% -1.7
Oct 31, 1:22 PM 47.5% 48.1% -0.6

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aaron rodgers passing completions are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 7 minutes ago.