Keenan Allen — Receptions
Projection 4.4
+1.5pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11546.5%47¢
against
Bet99's
+12544.4%44¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Keenan Allen Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 59.6% against 62.5% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 48.2% against 46.9% (1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 59.6% | 62.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 57.5% | 60.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 54.1% | 65.0% | -10.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 54.5% | 60.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 53.5% | 62.0% | -8.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 54.5% | 62.0% | -7.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 61.1% | 60.5% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 47.8% | 51.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 50.1% | 50.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 48.5% | 49.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 47.6% | 49.0% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 48.5% | 49.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 45.5% | 50.2% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 48.0% | 50.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 48.4% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 48.0% | 47.2% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 45.5% | 46.7% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:03 AM | 48.2% | 46.9% | 1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing keenan allen receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 46m ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 20h ago | |
 Bovada
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 20h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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