Projection 211.8
+0.54pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+80911%11¢
against
Rebet's
+12337.5%8¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (210.5)
Teal bars cleared 210.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Deshaun Watson Passing Yards 210.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 52.6% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.6% (-2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 6:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:30 AM | 49.0% | 52.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 49.8% | 52.8% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 1:51 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing deshaun watson passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
210.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 56m ago | ||
|
|
210.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 50m ago | ||
|
|
210.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Pinnacle last repriced this 16h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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