Deshaun Watson — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 1.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Deshaun Watson Passing Touchdowns 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 65.6% against 70.4% (an edge of -4.8 points) and is now 66.7% against 67.0% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 7:40 PM | 65.6% | 70.4% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 7:50 PM | 65.0% | 71.4% | -6.4 |
| Oct 28, 8:00 PM | 65.7% | 68.9% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 8:10 PM | 65.6% | 69.1% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 65.2% | 67.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 63.4% | 68.6% | -5.2 |
| Oct 28, 11:30 PM | 63.9% | 76.7% | -12.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 62.8% | 76.7% | -13.9 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 AM | 63.5% | 68.3% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 63.8% | 68.8% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 64.8% | 70.1% | -5.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 64.9% | 67.9% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 66.5% | 69.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 65.5% | 70.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 64.8% | 72.2% | -7.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 64.9% | 71.0% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 64.3% | 70.0% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 64.6% | 71.4% | -6.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 66.3% | 70.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 64.4% | 69.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 AM | 65.9% | 71.5% | -5.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 AM | 65.4% | 71.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 AM | 66.9% | 71.7% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 AM | 66.2% | 70.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 AM | 64.4% | 71.0% | -6.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 AM | 67.5% | 66.5% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 AM | 66.1% | 66.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 66.7% | 66.0% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 AM | 67.9% | 66.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:40 AM | 66.0% | 66.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:50 AM | 67.3% | 66.0% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 65.6% | 66.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 65.6% | 66.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 67.5% | 68.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 67.1% | 66.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 66.7% | 66.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 66.2% | 66.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 66.8% | 67.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 AM | 66.8% | 66.6% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:01 AM | 66.7% | 67.0% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing deshaun watson passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dst Propbuilder | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 22h ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 5h ago | ||
| Fliff | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fliff last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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