Projection 249.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (249.5)
Teal bars cleared 249.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards 249.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.2% against 51.0% (an edge of -0.8 points) and is now 50.4% against 51.9% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 50.2% | 51.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.2% | 51.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 PM | 50.5% | 50.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 PM | 50.1% | 51.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 50.3% | 51.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 49.4% | 52.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 49.5% | 54.5% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 50.4% | 51.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:57 PM | 50.4% | 51.9% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing matthew stafford passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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249.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 249.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 41m ago | ||
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249.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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