Matthew Stafford — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 2.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 62.6% against 63.0% (an edge of -0.4 points) and is now 59.0% against 60.5% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 62.6% | 63.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 AM | 62.3% | 63.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 61.7% | 63.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 61.4% | 63.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 AM | 59.8% | 63.0% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 62.2% | 63.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 AM | 59.9% | 62.8% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 59.4% | 62.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 11:20 AM | 59.3% | 62.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 PM | 61.3% | 61.8% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 PM | 59.7% | 61.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 PM | 57.7% | 62.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 62.5% | 62.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 60.5% | 60.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 59.6% | 61.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 58.3% | 62.0% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 58.4% | 62.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 58.4% | 60.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 58.7% | 62.7% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 59.1% | 62.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 58.5% | 62.2% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 58.4% | 61.4% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 58.4% | 62.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 AM | 57.1% | 62.5% | -5.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 59.6% | 63.1% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 59.8% | 62.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 58.7% | 62.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 56.8% | 62.1% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 57.7% | 62.9% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 60.5% | 61.2% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 62.8% | 60.9% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 60.4% | 60.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 58.3% | 61.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 58.2% | 62.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 61.0% | 62.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 PM | 61.4% | 60.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:48 PM | 59.0% | 60.5% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing matthew stafford passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 42m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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