Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (22.5)
Teal bars cleared 22.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Matthew Stafford Passing Completions 22.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.9% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 51.6% against 53.6% (-2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 49.5% | 53.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 49.3% | 53.7% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 48.0% | 53.7% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 11:20 AM | 48.8% | 52.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 PM | 51.0% | 53.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 50.5% | 54.8% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 50.3% | 54.8% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 49.0% | 55.1% | -6.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 50.3% | 55.1% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 49.7% | 54.7% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 49.5% | 54.9% | -5.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.0% | 54.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 48.0% | 52.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 50.0% | 54.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 AM | 50.0% | 54.7% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 8:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 PM | 48.0% | 53.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 49.0% | 53.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 53.6% | 54.8% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 52.0% | 53.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 53.6% | 55.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.4% | 53.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 49.0% | 54.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 51.0% | 53.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 AM | 51.6% | 55.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.9% | 55.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 AM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 51.5% | 55.2% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 51.5% | 54.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 51.4% | 55.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 51.0% | 54.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 52.9% | 53.7% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 51.0% | 54.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 51.0% | 54.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 51.0% | 55.2% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 51.6% | 54.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 50.8% | 55.2% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 51.1% | 53.7% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:32 PM | 51.6% | 53.6% | -2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing matthew stafford passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 20m ago | ||
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22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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