Projection 4.5
+1.27pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Courtside's
-10551.2%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jordan Love Rushing Yards 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 54.2% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 49.6% against 49.2% (0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 3:40 AM | 49.0% | 54.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 26, 11:40 AM | 48.6% | 53.4% | -4.8 |
| Oct 26, 11:50 AM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 26, 4:00 PM | 49.3% | 53.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 26, 7:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 26, 10:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 26, 10:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:30 AM | 48.9% | 51.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 10:30 AM | 51.4% | 51.2% | 0.2 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 27, 12:10 PM | 49.6% | 51.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 12:20 PM | 50.1% | 50.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 27, 12:30 PM | 48.2% | 50.3% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 12:40 PM | 50.0% | 49.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 49.0% | 49.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 48.8% | 50.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM | 49.0% | 48.5% | 0.5 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 49.9% | 49.2% | 0.7 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 49.3% | 49.2% | 0.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:40 PM | 49.0% | 49.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 48.5% | 50.5% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 46.5% | 49.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 49.0% | 47.4% | 1.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 9:10 AM | 46.5% | 48.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 2:50 PM | 46.5% | 51.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 6:50 PM | 51.4% | 50.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 28, 7:50 PM | 45.5% | 49.5% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 9:20 PM | 46.5% | 50.2% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 46.5% | 50.5% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 49.0% | 52.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 11:30 PM | 45.5% | 50.5% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 PM | 45.5% | 51.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 AM | 46.5% | 52.4% | -5.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 AM | 47.6% | 50.7% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 AM | 51.1% | 48.8% | 2.3 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 AM | 49.0% | 48.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.1% | 48.7% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 AM | 46.5% | 48.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 48.4% | 49.8% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 48.7% | 49.2% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 AM | 48.0% | 49.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 AM | 48.8% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 AM | 48.7% | 50.2% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 AM | 48.0% | 50.0% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 49.6% | 50.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:20 PM | 48.9% | 49.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 PM | 48.0% | 49.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 PM | 49.0% | 50.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 PM | 48.5% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 48.7% | 49.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 PM | 49.2% | 49.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 51.4% | 49.5% | 1.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 50.9% | 48.5% | 2.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:30 PM | 50.7% | 48.5% | 2.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 49.0% | 47.7% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 49.3% | 47.7% | 1.6 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 49.5% | 50.5% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 50.1% | 49.4% | 0.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 50.0% | 50.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:53 PM | 49.6% | 49.2% | 0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jordan love rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
5.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 22h ago | |
|
|
11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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