Projection 15.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (16.5)
Teal bars cleared 16.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards 16.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.2% against 52.3% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 49.8% against 52.2% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.2% | 52.3% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 AM | 49.8% | 52.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:10 AM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 51.0% | 52.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.7% | 52.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 51.0% | 51.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 50.4% | 51.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 51.3% | 52.6% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.5% | 50.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 PM | 49.7% | 50.7% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 PM | 49.6% | 51.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:39 PM | 49.8% | 52.2% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing baker mayfield rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 10h ago | ||
| Courtside | 16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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