Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (19.5)
Teal bars cleared 19.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Baker Mayfield Passing Completions 19.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.6% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 51.2% against 54.8% (-3.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 10:30 AM | 50.0% | 55.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 PM | 49.1% | 55.4% | -6.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 49.0% | 55.0% | -6 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 53.5% | 55.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 49.0% | 55.4% | -6.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 47.5% | 55.2% | -7.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 47.8% | 55.0% | -7.2 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 48.1% | 54.7% | -6.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 48.0% | 53.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 48.5% | 55.0% | -6.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 48.0% | 54.5% | -6.5 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 PM | 48.6% | 53.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:30 AM | 49.6% | 53.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 AM | 46.7% | 49.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 AM | 47.7% | 49.5% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 AM | 50.5% | 50.3% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 46.4% | 55.6% | -9.2 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 48.6% | 55.8% | -7.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 49.0% | 60.7% | -11.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 49.1% | 55.4% | -6.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 48.5% | 55.8% | -7.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 49.0% | 55.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.9% | 51.9% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 48.0% | 55.2% | -7.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 49.6% | 53.6% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 48.8% | 59.6% | -10.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 49.6% | 53.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 55.8% | 55.2% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 PM | 52.8% | 56.3% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 50.8% | 56.5% | -5.7 |
| Oct 30, 8:50 PM | 50.7% | 55.9% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 46.4% | 55.8% | -9.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 50.3% | 55.8% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 51.6% | 55.8% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 51.2% | 54.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 50.8% | 55.6% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 51.6% | 54.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 51.5% | 53.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 51.2% | 55.6% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 48.7% | 55.4% | -6.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.2% | 54.8% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:13 PM | 51.2% | 54.8% | -3.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing baker mayfield passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
19.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 12m ago | |
| Dst Propbuilder | 19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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