Baker Mayfield — Passing Attempts
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (30.5)
Teal bars cleared 30.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Baker Mayfield Passing Attempts 30.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 51.5% against 53.2% (-1.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 47.1% | 52.6% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:20 AM | 46.9% | 51.2% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 AM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 AM | 48.9% | 51.2% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 47.8% | 52.4% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 48.1% | 52.2% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 48.5% | 51.2% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 51.2% | 55.4% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 49.1% | 51.4% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 53.1% | 53.3% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 PM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 49.2% | 54.5% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 PM | 51.0% | 54.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:51 PM | 51.5% | 53.2% | -1.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing baker mayfield passing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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