Projection 6.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Geno Smith Rushing Yards 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 49.6% against 52.8% (-3.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 49.8% | 53.4% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.0% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 48.0% | 51.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 AM | 48.8% | 51.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:12 PM | 49.6% | 52.8% | -3.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing geno smith rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 6.5 | Dst Propbuilder does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 1d ago | |
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6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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