Geno Smith — Passing Completions
+0.14pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Pinnacle's
-10851.9%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Geno Smith Passing Completions 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 51.0% (an edge of 0 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.3% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 46.2% | 49.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 46.5% | 49.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 48.6% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 46.3% | 51.2% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 53.1% | 51.2% | 1.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 53.3% | 51.7% | 1.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 52.5% | 53.3% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:10 PM | 50.4% | 52.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 47.2% | 51.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 53.2% | 52.2% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 51.9% | 51.7% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 54.5% | 51.7% | 2.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 53.4% | 51.7% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 51.8% | 53.5% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 AM | 52.9% | 50.2% | 2.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 50.7% | 50.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 49.5% | 50.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 48.0% | 52.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 PM | 50.3% | 51.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 48.5% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:13 PM | 50.0% | 50.3% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing geno smith passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 20.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 31m ago | |
 Bovada
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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