Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (30.5)
Teal bars cleared 30.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Geno Smith Passing Attempts 30.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.3% against 51.5% (an edge of 0.8 points) and is now 49.5% against 51.0% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 52.3% | 51.5% | 0.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 52.5% | 52.5% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 49.3% | 52.8% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 49.2% | 52.8% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 52.3% | 52.8% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 52.6% | 51.9% | 0.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 AM | 46.5% | 49.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 52.3% | 49.8% | 2.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:00 PM | 52.5% | 51.5% | 1 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 49.6% | 53.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 48.8% | 50.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 48.0% | 50.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 AM | 48.0% | 50.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 AM | 46.5% | 50.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 49.3% | 50.8% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 48.0% | 50.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:03 AM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing geno smith passing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 9h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 8h ago | ||
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30.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 12m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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