Projection 24.9
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (23.5)
Teal bars cleared 23.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Justin Herbert Rushing Yards 23.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.9% against 53.8% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 50.2% against 52.7% (-2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2:00 PM | 50.9% | 53.8% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 PM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.3% | 53.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 49.6% | 52.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 49.2% | 52.4% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 PM | 50.5% | 52.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:50 AM | 50.6% | 52.7% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 8:00 AM | 50.3% | 51.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 49.9% | 51.9% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 49.5% | 52.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:21 PM | 50.2% | 52.7% | -2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing justin herbert rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 23h ago | ||
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23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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