Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Justin Herbert Rushing Attempts 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.0% against 57.1% (an edge of -4.1 points) and is now 50.9% against 56.5% (-5.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 53.0% | 57.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 11:10 PM | 51.0% | 56.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:00 AM | 49.5% | 55.9% | -6.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 52.5% | 55.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 54.5% | 57.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 51.1% | 55.6% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 51.2% | 55.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:23 PM | 50.9% | 56.5% | -5.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing justin herbert rushing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 19h ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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