Projection 207.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (205.5)
Teal bars cleared 205.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Justin Herbert Passing Yards 205.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.2% (an edge of -2.2 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.5% (-2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 50.3% | 51.7% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:08 PM | 50.0% | 52.5% | -2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing justin herbert passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dst Propbuilder | 205.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 20h ago | ||
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205.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Rebet | 200.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Rebet last repriced this 20h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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