Josh Allen — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 1.8
+0.64pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-11052.4%52¢
against
Dst Propbuilder's
-13056.5%57¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Josh Allen Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.1% against 58.0% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 54.6% against 54.1% (0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:40 AM | 55.1% | 58.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 3:30 AM | 54.9% | 55.9% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 3:40 AM | 56.1% | 57.1% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 4:20 AM | 56.3% | 57.1% | -0.8 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 56.3% | 55.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:50 AM | 54.0% | 57.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 PM | 54.2% | 57.6% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 1:40 PM | 54.2% | 54.8% | -0.6 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 PM | 53.8% | 53.8% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 53.6% | 54.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 56.2% | 53.9% | 2.3 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 PM | 58.7% | 53.1% | 5.6 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 54.2% | 55.8% | -1.6 |
| Oct 28, 7:40 PM | 55.2% | 54.8% | 0.4 |
| Oct 28, 9:30 PM | 54.6% | 55.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 54.5% | 55.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 54.8% | 52.4% | 2.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 55.5% | 52.6% | 2.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 55.1% | 51.9% | 3.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 AM | 55.2% | 53.9% | 1.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 55.4% | 53.8% | 1.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:19 AM | 54.6% | 54.1% | 0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing josh allen passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
Novig
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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