Joe Burrow — Rushing Yards
Projection 5.5
+0.69pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+61414%14¢
against
Rebet's
+47517.4%17¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Joe Burrow Rushing Yards 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.4% against 53.1% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.4% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 50.4% | 53.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 51.0% | 52.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 51.0% | 52.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:40 PM | 51.1% | 52.4% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 50.1% | 52.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 48.0% | 53.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 48.6% | 52.6% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 49.1% | 52.6% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 49.5% | 52.4% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.3% | 53.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 50.3% | 51.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 49.6% | 52.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 50.8% | 52.2% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 49.7% | 52.2% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 49.0% | 52.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:43 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing joe burrow rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
5.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2d ago | |
 BetRivers
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 12m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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