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Joe Burrow — Passing Touchdowns

Projection 2.5

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)

Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).

Joe Burrow Passing Touchdowns 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.2% against 40.6% (an edge of -1.4 points) and is now 41.4% against 42.0% (-0.6 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 28, 4:00 AM 39.2% 40.6% -1.4
Oct 28, 10:00 AM 36.4% 40.0% -3.6
Oct 28, 2:00 PM 36.6% 39.2% -2.6
Oct 28, 2:40 PM 38.5% 41.0% -2.5
Oct 28, 3:50 PM 37.9% 38.6% -0.7
Oct 28, 4:00 PM 37.9% 39.9% -2
Oct 28, 4:30 PM 36.6% 39.7% -3.1
Oct 28, 4:40 PM 37.7% 38.6% -0.9
Oct 28, 4:50 PM 38.2% 40.0% -1.8
Oct 28, 5:00 PM 38.3% 39.7% -1.4
Oct 28, 5:10 PM 38.2% 39.0% -0.8
Oct 28, 5:20 PM 38.4% 38.9% -0.5
Oct 28, 5:50 PM 36.6% 40.7% -4.1
Oct 28, 6:20 PM 37.7% 40.9% -3.2
Oct 28, 6:30 PM 37.4% 40.8% -3.4
Oct 28, 7:20 PM 36.6% 40.4% -3.8
Oct 28, 7:40 PM 37.2% 39.9% -2.7
Oct 28, 8:00 PM 37.7% 40.0% -2.3
Oct 28, 8:10 PM 38.5% 38.9% -0.4
Oct 28, 8:20 PM 38.9% 40.0% -1.1
Oct 28, 10:00 PM 38.6% 40.1% -1.5
Oct 28, 10:10 PM 37.1% 40.0% -2.9
Oct 28, 11:20 PM 39.9% 41.0% -1.1
Oct 29, 1:50 AM 40.6% 40.5% 0.1
Oct 29, 2:00 AM 42.5% 40.1% 2.4
Oct 29, 2:10 AM 43.7% 40.0% 3.7
Oct 29, 4:00 AM 39.0% 39.6% -0.6
Oct 29, 4:10 AM 38.7% 40.0% -1.3
Oct 29, 5:50 AM 42.2% 40.5% 1.7
Oct 29, 6:00 AM 37.8% 40.0% -2.2
Oct 29, 7:00 AM 37.3% 41.0% -3.7
Oct 29, 7:10 AM 38.7% 41.0% -2.3
Oct 29, 10:00 AM 38.0% 40.0% -2
Oct 29, 2:20 PM 38.5% 40.5% -2
Oct 29, 2:30 PM 38.7% 41.0% -2.3
Oct 29, 2:40 PM 40.5% 41.0% -0.5
Oct 29, 2:50 PM 39.2% 41.0% -1.8
Oct 29, 3:00 PM 40.0% 41.0% -1
Oct 29, 3:20 PM 39.8% 41.0% -1.2
Oct 29, 3:30 PM 39.9% 41.0% -1.1
Oct 29, 3:40 PM 40.2% 41.0% -0.8
Oct 29, 4:20 PM 40.6% 41.0% -0.4
Oct 29, 5:20 PM 40.8% 41.0% -0.2
Oct 29, 5:30 PM 40.8% 41.2% -0.4
Oct 29, 5:50 PM 41.9% 41.2% 0.7
Oct 29, 6:00 PM 39.8% 41.3% -1.5
Oct 30, 4:00 AM 37.9% 41.0% -3.1
Oct 30, 4:30 AM 41.9% 41.7% 0.2
Oct 30, 6:00 AM 39.8% 41.7% -1.9
Oct 30, 6:30 AM 41.5% 41.8% -0.3
Oct 30, 8:50 AM 41.7% 41.7% 0
Oct 30, 9:00 AM 41.4% 41.7% -0.3
Oct 30, 9:30 AM 41.7% 41.7% 0
Oct 30, 11:10 AM 42.5% 41.7% 0.8
Oct 30, 11:20 AM 41.4% 41.7% -0.3
Oct 30, 11:50 AM 41.5% 42.2% -0.7
Oct 30, 1:00 PM 40.7% 45.0% -4.3
Oct 30, 1:10 PM 39.1% 43.9% -4.8
Oct 30, 1:20 PM 40.2% 43.1% -2.9
Oct 30, 1:40 PM 41.8% 42.6% -0.8
Oct 30, 2:00 PM 38.9% 42.6% -3.7
Oct 30, 2:30 PM 40.4% 42.4% -2
Oct 30, 2:50 PM 41.0% 42.0% -1
Oct 30, 3:40 PM 42.2% 42.0% 0.2
Oct 30, 3:50 PM 41.0% 42.0% -1
Oct 30, 4:00 PM 40.6% 42.9% -2.3
Oct 30, 4:40 PM 42.0% 42.0% 0
Oct 31, 1:10 PM 40.9% 40.0% 0.9
Oct 31, 3:50 PM 42.0% 42.2% -0.2
Oct 31, 4:00 PM 38.9% 41.0% -2.1
Oct 31, 6:10 PM 41.1% 42.0% -0.9
Oct 31, 2:28 PM 41.4% 42.0% -0.6

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing joe burrow passing touchdowns are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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All Passing Touchdowns props Prop Edge Tool

Updated 17 minutes ago.