Patrick Mahomes — Rushing Yards
Projection 13.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (13.5)
Teal bars cleared 13.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.6% against 53.1% (an edge of -2.5 points) and is now 50.3% against 52.6% (-2.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 50.6% | 53.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.6% | 53.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 PM | 47.1% | 55.0% | -7.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 49.3% | 54.5% | -5.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Nov 1, 12:59 PM | 50.3% | 52.6% | -2.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing patrick mahomes rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 22m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Courtside | 13.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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