Patrick Mahomes — Passing Yards
Projection 220.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (220.5)
Teal bars cleared 220.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards 220.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 54.1% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 49.9% against 53.2% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 49.0% | 54.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 49.5% | 52.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:48 PM | 49.9% | 53.2% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing patrick mahomes passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DraftKings
|
220.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3d ago | |
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
220.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
220.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 22m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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