Patrick Mahomes — Passing Completions
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Patrick Mahomes Passing Completions 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.3% against 53.9% (an edge of -7.6 points) and is now 49.6% against 50.9% (-1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 46.3% | 53.9% | -7.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 46.8% | 52.4% | -5.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:20 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:30 PM | 53.8% | 53.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 AM | 52.4% | 51.9% | 0.5 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 48.8% | 50.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 50.0% | 50.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 48.6% | 50.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 47.1% | 51.8% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 AM | 46.7% | 50.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.1% | 51.2% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 48.6% | 51.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 48.6% | 50.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 49.0% | 50.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 49.4% | 50.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 46.8% | 51.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 AM | 49.5% | 50.8% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 49.0% | 50.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 47.5% | 51.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 47.4% | 51.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 48.0% | 51.0% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 49.4% | 50.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 50.2% | 51.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 49.2% | 50.7% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.5% | 50.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 6:13 PM | 49.6% | 50.9% | -1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing patrick mahomes passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 16h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 8h ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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