Patrick Mahomes — Passing Attempts
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (33.5)
Teal bars cleared 33.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Patrick Mahomes Passing Attempts 33.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.9% against 53.5% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 49.8% against 55.8% (-6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 49.9% | 53.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 49.3% | 54.4% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 48.3% | 54.1% | -5.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 47.8% | 51.8% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 AM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 AM | 48.8% | 51.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 49.5% | 52.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 AM | 50.1% | 54.6% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 49.5% | 53.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 AM | 49.1% | 54.3% | -5.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 AM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 AM | 50.0% | 54.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 51.6% | 56.2% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 50.5% | 55.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:02 AM | 49.8% | 55.8% | -6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing patrick mahomes passing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 23h ago | ||
| Courtside | 33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 13m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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