Lamar Jackson — Rushing Yards
Projection 34.9
+1.08pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-10250.5%50¢
against
Bovada's
-11052.4%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (25.5)
Teal bars cleared 25.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards 25.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.6% against 54.3% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.8% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 3:50 AM | 50.6% | 54.3% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 59.6% | -9.6 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 AM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 51.5% | 52.2% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 51.2% | 52.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:10 AM | 50.5% | 52.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:20 PM | 51.0% | 53.0% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 51.2% | 53.1% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 51.4% | 52.6% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 51.4% | 55.4% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 51.0% | 52.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 49.0% | 52.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 9:00 PM | 50.1% | 45.5% | 4.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 48.9% | 46.8% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 49.3% | 48.7% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 AM | 49.6% | 48.5% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 49.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 49.3% | 49.2% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 49.2% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 AM | 49.8% | 50.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 49.6% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 49.6% | 50.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 49.0% | 50.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 4:08 PM | 50.0% | 50.8% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lamar jackson rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
25.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
25.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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