+0.26pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11546.5%47¢
against
Courtside's
+11346.9%47¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Lamar Jackson Rushing Attempts 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.4% against 47.6% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 45.6% against 46.5% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 44.4% | 47.6% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 PM | 43.7% | 46.9% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:20 PM | 44.8% | 46.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 4:20 PM | 44.5% | 46.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 43.7% | 46.7% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 56.7% | 46.5% | 10.2 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 43.5% | 46.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 46.7% | 46.9% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 56.7% | 50.0% | 6.7 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:12 PM | 45.6% | 46.5% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lamar jackson rushing attempts are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago | |
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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