Projection 0.5
+0.87pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-11753.9%54¢
against
Rebet's
+10947.8%48¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jared Goff Rushing Yards 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.8% against 59.5% (an edge of -5.7 points) and is now 52.0% against 55.2% (-3.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 53.8% | 59.5% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 51.4% | 57.9% | -6.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 49.9% | 58.3% | -8.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 50.2% | 57.2% | -7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 52.4% | 57.6% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 53.5% | 54.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.5% | 55.5% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 54.2% | 55.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 52.3% | 55.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 49.5% | 53.7% | -4.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 50.5% | 53.7% | -3.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 50.3% | 53.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 49.0% | 54.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.3% | 53.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 51.6% | 53.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 51.6% | 53.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:06 PM | 52.0% | 55.2% | -3.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jared goff rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 7h ago | ||
|
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 58m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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