Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jared Goff Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.7% against 59.8% (an edge of -6.1 points) and is now 52.3% against 53.2% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 6:00 AM | 53.7% | 59.8% | -6.1 |
| Oct 27, 2:50 PM | 52.8% | 56.9% | -4.1 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 53.5% | 57.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 53.7% | 57.1% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 11:30 PM | 54.2% | 56.4% | -2.2 |
| Oct 28, 1:20 AM | 53.4% | 57.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 AM | 53.1% | 57.1% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 5:50 AM | 52.4% | 56.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 53.0% | 55.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 1:50 PM | 51.4% | 55.9% | -4.5 |
| Oct 28, 2:00 PM | 52.4% | 55.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 52.4% | 54.5% | -2.1 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 52.4% | 55.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 28, 4:50 PM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 PM | 52.4% | 55.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 53.2% | 55.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 55.2% | 55.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 55.0% | 55.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 54.7% | 55.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 52.6% | 55.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 54.5% | 55.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 52.6% | 55.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 53.5% | 55.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 53.0% | 55.0% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 AM | 52.8% | 56.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 AM | 53.1% | 55.5% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 51.4% | 55.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 55.4% | 55.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 54.4% | 55.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 52.8% | 55.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 52.0% | 54.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 54.7% | 55.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 54.3% | 53.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:10 PM | 52.4% | 55.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 52.8% | 56.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 54.9% | 55.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 51.7% | 53.9% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 52.4% | 55.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 52.6% | 55.4% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 52.2% | 55.2% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 52.4% | 55.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 53.0% | 55.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 51.6% | 55.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 53.7% | 55.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 51.7% | 55.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 52.2% | 53.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 55.0% | 53.1% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 51.5% | 53.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:27 PM | 52.3% | 53.2% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jared goff passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 12h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 10h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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